Nick Heard

Accident Analysis

With Nick Heard

Accident Analysis

Tragedy on club fly-out to Le Touquet

This month’s Accident Analysis looks at the loss of an aircraft and its occupants on a trip to Le Touquet earlier this year

G-EGVA
Images from AAIB report

Piper Arrow G-EGVA was one of seven aircraft taking part in a club ‘fly-out’ from Wellesbourne Mountford Aerodrome to Le Touquet in France. A line of highly convective cloud was forecast on the intended route in the English Channel. As they approached the middle of the Channel, one of the pilots of G-EGVA, which was operating under VFR, reported to London Information that they were in cloud. Neither of the pilots on board was qualified to fly in cloud.

Shortly after this transmission the aircraft disappeared from radar. An extensive search of the area was coordinated by the UK and French Aeronautical Rescue Coordination Centres, but neither the aircraft nor its occupants were found.

History of the flight

On Saturday, 2 April the two pilots of Piper Arrow G-EGVA were taking part in a flying club ‘fly-out’ from Wellesbourne airfield in Warwickshire to Le Touquet in France, along with six other aircraft.

One of the aircraft flew IFR. The six other aircraft, including G-EGVA, planned to fly VFR each flying a similar route from Wellesbourne towards Newbury and Goodwood, then east towards Le Touquet. One of the pilots of G-EGVA had filed a flight plan using a flight planning and navigation app. The route was planned at 5,000ft and the flight plan gave an estimated flight time of 1 hour 38 minutes.

At 0759 hr G-EGVA contacted London Information and requested that their flight plan be activated. At 0816 hr they transferred to Farnborough Radar before returning to London Information at 0839 hr. When they returned to London Information, they reported they were at 5,000ft and 1nm west of Littlehampton.

At 0846 hr a video was posted online by the right seat pilot of G-EGVA. The video showed the aircraft in flight passing abeam Shoreham with the flight appearing to proceed normally.

The aircraft’s altimeter showed 5,000ft, the heading was approximately 090°, and the airspeed indicator showed approximately 115kt. The autopilot did not appear to be engaged and the engine and fuel indications, which were visible, appeared normal. Cumulus cloud could be seen in the distance ahead of the aircraft. Both occupants were wearing life-jackets, with their shoulder harnesses worn under their lifejackets.

Later in the flight, London Information tried to contact the aircraft several times and asked other aircraft to try to relay a message without success. At 0920 hr the London Information FISO informed Distress and Diversion (D&D) that it had lost contact with G-EGVA. The FISO also contacted Le Touquet and Lille Information to determine if they had contact with G-EGVA. They both confirmed they had no contact with the aircraft.

The UK and French Aeronautical Rescue Coordination Centres were informed, and a search was launched involving both French and UK vessels and aircraft. The search continued until the following evening but initially, nothing was found of the aircraft or its occupants. Subsequently, some items were found washed up on the French Coast.

Reports from other aircraft

The pilots and passengers of the other aircraft participating in the fly-out were interviewed after the accident. All the pilots reported encountering a line of cumulus cloud in the middle of the Channel.

Four of the five other aircraft flying a VFR route had been able to descend and find a gap to fly around the cloud. Having flown past this weather, the four aircraft continued normally to Le Touquet, returning to Wellesbourne later the same day.

Those onboard the last aircraft in the group initially tried to descend and fly around the weather, but decided they could not find a safe route and elected to divert to Shoreham airport.

Initial findings

On the day of the accident an area of convective cloud was forecast in the English Channel, which crossed the route planned by G-EGVA. The forecast suggested that isolated heavy rain and snow showers or thunderstorms were to be expected with a cloud base between 1,500ft and 3,000ft and associated with severe icing and turbulence.

The video posted on social media by the right seat pilot of G-EGVA showed the aircraft at 5,000ft with cumulus cloud visible ahead. Radar recordings show that after this time the aircraft descended to approximately 3,000ft then climbed to above 7,000ft, while continuing on a constant heading towards the cloud.

It is not possible to know the pilots’ intentions, but these changes in altitude might have been an attempt to avoid cloud. Once reaching 7,000ft they were unable to climb any higher due to the controlled airspace above.

Shortly after reaching 7,000ft the radio transmission from the aircraft confirmed the aircraft had entered cloud. Neither occupant was qualified to fly in cloud and it is not known if they entered cloud inadvertently. The video recording from G-EGVA and the photographs from the other aircraft show the cloud was clearly defined and visible when several miles away.

So, there should have been sufficient time to turn around if they were unable to route around the cloud. It is possible that the occupants’ previous experience of flying through cloud without incident encouraged them to try to fly through it on this occasion.

AAIB safety message

The evidence available to date indicates that control of the aircraft was lost when it entered a highly active cumulus cloud, which had been forecast. Neither occupant was qualified to fly in IMC. It is likely the aircraft was substantially damaged on impact with the sea.

Nick’s Analysis

It is very dangerous to enter cloud when not suitably qualified or when not in current practice in instrument flying. The AAIB has investigated numerous accidents when control of an aircraft was lost after intentionally or inadvertently entering cloud in these circumstances.

This tragic and sobering accident started with an airfield fly-out that should have been an enjoyable day out to Le Touquet. There were some credible decisions made that day: some pilots were able to route themselves around the bad weather to make it to Le Touquet. Another pilot decided that the weather was unsuitable and diverted to Shoreham. Sadly it looks like the crew of VA made the wrong decision with fatal consequences.

The safety message made in the Special AAIB Report says much of what needs to be said: ‘flying in cloud should not be attempted by those who have not been trained in instrument flying, or who are out of practice at this skill’.

I have been fortunate to have undergone disorientation training during my military career using clever ground-based devices that are able to demonstrate remarkable disorientation effects by fooling the body’s senses. I have also experienced disorientation during both night and IMC flight, such that my body’s senses have been screaming at me that I simply must be in a different attitude to that which the instruments are telling me: the so-called ‘leans’. In these cases I have fought the ‘seat of my pants’ feelings and followed the instrument indications, but sometimes it was not easy.

With experience in GA aircraft, military fast-jets, and commercial airliners, there is no doubt in my mind as to which are the hardest aircraft to fly in IMC: undoubtedly GA aircraft.

The reasons are many:
Low weight and low wing-loading With their light weights, GA aircraft are less stable and more prone to turbulence – especially in convective cloud. The thick wings of GA aircraft also make them more prone to icing.
Poor instrumentation Flying precise attitudes on a small vacuum-driven Artificial Horizon (AH) is not easy.
Low speed Low speed means that you remain IMC for longer, with more exposure to effects such as engine and airframe icing. The low speed also means that any small angle of bank will lead to a significant and unwanted heading change if not noticed quickly.
Low power Most GA aircraft are relatively low powered. This leaves few options to climb out of cloud if that is thought to be an option. There is almost certainly no chance of out-climbing convective cloud.
Lack of weather radar or other on-board, look-ahead weather equipment Without the ability to see embedded convective cloud while IMC (CU or CB), there is the chance of blundering into these dangerous cloud types.
Lack of de-icing equipment Most GA aircraft are not cleared for Flight Into Known Icing (FIKI) conditions. Icing is a major concern during IMC flight – I have a number of Canadian pilot friends who all have scary stories of getting iced up in IMC flight, sometimes to the point of being unable to maintain height.

Having mentioned those factors (and there are many more), there is still a major place for GA aircraft to operate in IMC conditions, but not without training in both theory and flying. IMC pilots must have (among other knowledge) a sound knowledge of practical meteorology: the PPL syllabus is a good start but further understanding is always better.

Various qualifications are available for pilots who wish to fly IMC, namely the Instrument Rating (Restricted) (Part-FCL parlance for the IMC Rating), the Competency-Based Instrument Rating, and the full Instrument Rating.

The IR(R) remains a popular qualification for UK-licenced pilots but it is not recognised outside of UK airspace. There are arguments on both sides as to whether the IR (R) should be used as a day-to-day IMC qualification or as a ‘get-you-out-of-trouble’ ticket if you get caught in cloud. Even if you don’t have the interest or finances to undergo a full IR(R) course, there is a lot to be said for undergoing at least some training in instrument flying.

This training could get you to a stage where you can overcome the startle factor of accidentally entering cloud and getting yourself out of the cloud sensibly and under control. A 180° turn on instruments is a requirement for PPL training but more training will always be beneficial. A bit of instrument flying training would form an excellent basis for a two-yearly instructor flight for rating revalidation purposes.

Instrument flying is far harder than VFR flying. The workload is always higher and there are far more requirements in decision-making, prioritisation, and procedures. Please don’t assume that a few hours on a PC flight simulator is any realistic representation of genuine IMC flight.

For those who have started training towards an instrument qualification, or indeed those already qualified, I would offer the following advice as the basis of successful instrument flight, under the banner of the so-called Selective Radial Scan:
Aircraft attitude comes first, so your focus is ALWAYS the artificial horizon to ensure that the attitude is that which you require. If it’s not, then fix that first.
Aircraft speed is the next priority. It’s no good having the correct attitude without the right speed (i.e. not too much and not too little).
Altitude is next. When in IMC you must always know what your current safety altitude is, and make sure that you are above it (unless you are following an airport arrival or departure procedure, or are under ATC vectors).

Everything else comes after those ‘fly the aircraft’ aspects. The ‘Aviate – Navigate – Communicate’ phrase still applies, but the ‘Aviate’ aspect takes on a particularly high priority in IMC flight. Use of an autopilot when in IMC is particularly useful as a means of off-loading cockpit work.

Key points

So, some key points to take from this terrible accident:

  • NEVER be tempted to engage in deliberate IMC flight without adequate training and recent experience. If you are faced with cloud or reducing visibility, act decisively to avoid going into the IMC conditions.
  • The option to descend below cloud – which may have been an escape option – was limited by the current existence of Temporary Danger Areas over the English Channel, allowing descent to generally no lower than 1500 ft. Whilst a contentious issue in this incident, in IMC you are always going to be limited to descent to your Minimum Safe Altitude (unless you achieve visual conditions) so the unique circumstances of this incident should not detract you from those considerations.
  • Be particularly wary of IMC flying with convective meteorological activity forecast or reported. Those conditions are likely to be frighteningly turbulent and aircraft control will be difficult.
  • You will almost certainly be unable to out-climb a CU or CB cloud, VMC or IMC. Such clouds are best avoided by going around them.
  • Consider an IR (R) course. If that is not possible, consider getting at least some instrument flying training, possibly incorporating that within your two-yearly instructor flight. That training could be a very good investment.

Further reading

Robbie Garrett’s article on gaining his Competency Based Instrument rating (CBIR)
CAA Safety Sense leaflet – Pilots: It’s your decision
Discussion about this accident on the FLYER forum

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